The Fraud of Bushenomics: They're
Looting the Country
The voodoo economics the Bushies
have sold America obscure their systematic fleecing of the nation's
by Larry Beinhart
www.alternet.org/, January 19,
The New York Times made it official. The
Economy is a problem!
So, now, at last we can discuss it.
Not just discuss it, in rapid order "recession"
became the word of the day, from White House, Congress, the Fed
and the media.
It's blamed, mostly, on the subprime crisis.
But that's not the problem. It's a symptom.
It is the logical, and probably one of the necessary results,
Along with low, or no, job growth. Little
or no business growth. Depressed wages. And the crashing dollar.
(The president has a different vision of the economy. In his vision
it's booming! And the number of jobs is growing! Though there
is this little blip.)
The idea under which Bushenomics was sold
0. The rich are the investor class.
0. If the rich have more money, they will invest more.
0. Their investments will create more business.
0. Those businesses will create more wealth, thus improving everyone's
lives and making the nation stronger. They will also create new
and better jobs.
Whether or not the people who say such things truly believe them,
I cannot say. But that's their pitch, and the media certainly
seems to buy it, as do most of the establishment economists.
A more realistic -- and less idealistic
-- view of Bushenomics is that the Bush administration and its
cronies came at the economy with the attitude of oilmen.
0. They inherited a vastly wealth country.
0. They looked at it like the oil under the Alaskan wilderness.
They craved to pump it out, turn it into cash and grab as much
of that cash as possible.
Wherever possible, they literally sold off the assets. This was
called privatization. Our biggest asset -- in terms of size --
is, of course, our defense establishment. With privatization,
one dollar out of every three for direct military operations in
Iraq and Afghanistan goes to private contractors like Halliburton
and Blackwater. So when someone says, "Support the troops!"
with budget appropriations, they should really yell, "Two-thirds
support to the troops! One third support to Halliburton, et al.!"
This is just an estimate. The degree of
privatization is unknown. Presumably, that's deliberate. Nor does
it count the amount of money the military spends with private
purveyors to supply the troops and their operations. It is only
the amount that goes directly to private contractors.
But for the most part, the assets of the
United States, our collective wealth, could not be sold off in
such a direct manner.
In order to turn them into cash, what
the administration did was borrow against them.
That is, they cut taxes while continuing
to spend lavishly, creating debt.
The debt is owed by all of us, the collective
people of the United States.
The tax cuts hugely favored rich people.
They also favored unearned income (dividends, capital gains, inherited
money) as opposed to the kind of money people have to work for.
The very richest got richer.
The spending was -- to the degree possible
-- directed to themselves, their friends and their supporters:
Big Pharma, the medical industry, insurance, banking and financial,
among others. And, of course, Big Oil, from whom they have spent
close to a trillion dollars of our money to conquer a big oil
field for private exploitation.
Now let's take a look at some numbers.
The numbers will tell us if their idealistic
tale about unleashing the capitalists to create a better world
for us all is correct. Or if it's a fairy story that masks uncaring
The big number is that the economy has
As measured by the GDP it has. From 2001
to 2007 it went by 35 percent.
GDP stands for Gross Domestic Product.
It could more accurately be called Gross Domestic Transactions,
because it is the sum of all the financial transactions in the
Now let us look at job creation.
In the first six years of the Clinton
administration, 13.7 million jobs were created. In the same period,
under Bush, only 3.7 million jobs were created. Barely keeping
up with population growth, if that. (Source: Fox News)
Now let us look at median income. That's
as opposed to average income (If Bill Gates walks into a bar with
10 people, the average income of everyone in the room goes up
by $17,5000,000. But the median income just moves up half a notch,
from between the fifth and sixth person, to the sixth person's
income). From 2001 to 2005, median income, for people under 65,
went down $2,000.
That's worth restating. From 2001 to 2005,
the income of the average working person declined by $2,000.
Now, let's look at the value of America's
A good rough measure of the market value
of America's best businesses is the stock market. Under Clinton,
the Dow Jones went up 324 percent. Wall-to-wall, after the dot.com
bubble burst, it more than tripled in value.
Bush arrived in 2001. Since then the Dow
Jones is up just 10 percent. Adjusted for inflation, that's absolutely
flat. (It was briefly up 23 percent. It is now below the 10 percent
mark, and tumbling down as this is written). Just pain, no gain.
If jobs have not increased, salaries have
gone down, and the value of business has not risen, where is that
35 percent growth in the economy?
There is a number called the M3 money
The M1 is basically cash, plus checking
and "current" accounts. The M2 adds savings accounts,
money market accounts and CDs up to $100,000. The M3 adds in the
big CDs, Eurodollar accounts and other large exotics.
Already rising very fast, the M3 took
off like a rocket after 2001. The Fed stopped publishing the M3
in 2006 (conspiracy theorists, please note.) But a quick look
at the chart of its growth, and assuming its trajectory continued,
clearly shows that the M3 grew by something in the range of 35
The entire growth of the economy under
Bushenomics is accounted for by growth in the money supply.
The administration did not directly inflate
the economy by 35 percent.
They pumped it by the size of the deficit.
The rest happened this way.
When a government is "printing money"
(running big deficits), the big fear is inflation.
Particularly in the financial community.
Bankers make their money on interest, and inflation eats their
profits, point for point.
The administration, very proudly, grew
the economy (or at least the amount of money in circulation),
without inflation. Which actually is a pretty good trick.
In part, they were able to do so precisely
because the policy was a failure.
If it had created business growth -- actual
business, not just financial business -- that would have created
jobs. Then there would have been inflationary pressure. Especially
if they were good, high paying jobs. If salaries for ordinary
people go up, even a little, the total is a big sum because there
are so many of us.
But due to free trade, outsourcing, bad
economic policy, policies aimed at keeping wages down, and relentless
union busting, good jobs were lost, to be replaced with low-wage
jobs, when they were replaced at all. The proof is in that median
income figure (down $2,000 per worker).
Due to free trade and outsourcing, consumer
goods mostly went down too. The exception being in favored industries
like pharmaceuticals, insurance and oil.
Finally, and this the key to the next
step in the process, the Fed kept interest rates down.
Low interest rates mean that it's cheap
The administration largely believes in
supply-side economics (otherwise known as "trickle down,"
or "piss on the people."); if you increase the supply
of something, consumers will appear to buy it.
The actual results are a perverse triumph
of the idea.
The supply of money was increased. The
price of money was kept artificially low.
Think of borrowing as buying money. It
People (and businesses and corporations)
did rush forward to buy it. Once they had it, what was there to
do with it? There was no new trend, no dot.coms, no high techs,
no bio techs, no nothing.
So they went out and sold money. That
is, they made loans.
There are two big retail loan areas, credit
cards and housing loans. Both were pushed very aggressively. With
cheap, cheap money available to finance home buying, that market
heated up. At the same time, commercial interests started aggressively
buying up loans, packaging them together, and reselling them as
financial instruments. That created more desire to make more loans
(sell money). Financial institutions bought more money (borrowed),
in order to sell it at a profit (make loans). Since the loans
were quickly resold -- and profit taken off the top -- the quality
of the loans didn't matter to the people who made them. The housing
market -- or rather the loans that fueled it -- grew into a bubble.
The subprime crisis, the housing bubble,
whatever you want to call it, is not the problem.
It's a symptom of pumping in money with
no place to go.
Other symptoms are no job growth, no business
growth, no stock market growth, falling median incomes, disappearing
pensions and health plans, and the fall of the dollar.
When Bush came into office, a Euro cost
95 cents. Now it costs a $1.50. The Canadian dollar (the Loony)
was 70 cents. Now it costs a dollar. Most mainstream economists
and pundits will opine that a low dollar is good for American
industry, because it will help us sell our goods. That's only
true if we're producing things that no one else is -- or producing
them better or cheaper -- and we're not.
Also, many foreign exchange rates are
being kept artificially low against the dollar. Some, like many
of the oil countries, are pegged to the dollar. They're making
up for it by raising the price of oil (currently traded in dollars).
Others, like the Asian manufacturing countries, are keeping their
currency down to retain their edge in selling here, thereby canceling
whatever advantage we're supposed to get from declining currency.
One way to think of what the administration
has done, is as a leveraged buyout. That's when someone buys a
company, using the company itself as the collateral for the loan
used to purchase it, usually at very high interest, then pays
off the interest by cutting the work force and salaries, selling
outsets and even breaking up the company.
It's good for the guy who makes the deal,
skims the cream off the top and gets rich. (The company that Mitt
Romney got rich working for specialized in doing that.) It's good
for the lenders, who get a good return (if the buyer is able to
squeeze enough money out of his purchase), but it's bad for the
work force, bad for the company, and, if no one comes along to
replace it, bad for the business as a whole.
We've experienced a leveraged buyout of
the national economy.
Our politicians, the media and economists
are just now waking up to the fact that the economy is in trouble.
The current numbers make it clear that
we are probably in, or probably headed for, a recession.
Also, the polls show that people are concerned
about the economy, and it's an election year. The people are out
ahead of our governing and media and professional economic classes
on this, because they live in the real economy, the one that's
been leveraged, and the professionals are either in, or work for,
the investor class that has been doing well.
So there is, at last, talk about doing
something about the economy.
The Feds will cut interest rates!
George Bush wants a stimulus package.
Tax cuts, tax cuts and make my tax cuts permanent! After all,
that policy has worked so well. He said the cuts must be at least
1 percent of the GDP. That will be $145 billion.
Harry Reid and Nancy Policy (the King
and Queen of Effective Politics) will offer a competing one (tax
cuts, tax cuts!). Although they promised pay-as-you-go economic
policies from a Democratic legislature.
Pundits in the media talk about a crisis
in consumer confidence. And how the fix is to restore it. So we
will go out and buy. Presumably on credit.
How about consumers think there's a problem
because there is one. Not because they're weird emotionally. They
reasonably see themselves so overextended, with so little hope
of being better earners, that they won't be able to pay things
off. Not even with a one-time government check of somewhere between
$300 and $1,200.
In short, most of those solutions will
go to making things worse.
The real solutions are pretty obvious
and pretty simple.
First, we have to make a choice: Do we
want a sound economy for all of us and a strong America? Or do
we want to have a few people of unlimited wealth who use that
wealth, among other things, to control the government so that
it helps them milk more money from the rest of us?
By the way, this is not a call for socialism!
Or other ism! Except a call for sensible and effective capitalism.
Based on what we've seen work and seen fail.
In the real world, there are no such things
as free markets.
In the real world, business people manipulate
and conspire to control markets, and governments both control
and collude with business, while tax policies and government spending
have a major affect on the economy.
Let us accept that, and then the argument
is only over how best to do it.
Simply giving money to rich people doesn't
Bob Novak, the conservative commentator
who calls the investor class "the most creative class,"
is flat out wrong. As we've seen, outside of their ability to
buy influence in politics, the media and the law, the rich are
like the rest of us, relatively passive and unimaginative, prone
to putting their money in the easiest place that promises a return,
in whatever bubble is in fashion at the moment and wherever some
salesman who gets their attention tells them.
Money has no mind of its own. It has to
be directed toward areas that will generate and support business
and good jobs at good wages. As it happens, our economic goals
are on the same road as the social good.
The No. 1 target has to be alternative
Energy that can be produced here, in the
United States, renewable, nonpolluting, and not, like corn-based
ethanol, requiring as much petroleum to produce it as it replaces.
One-third of our balance of trade deficit is oil, year in and
year out. If the United States can become the world leader in
alternative energy and conservation technology, we will, at last,
have something to export.
The No. 2 target is infrastructure.
By it's nature, infrastructure has to
be largely produced here with local labor and it stays here.
Hard infrastructure, like roads and bridges,
cleaning up New Orleans and the Gulf Coast, protecting our coasts
from future storms, internet and phone service as good as Europe's,
Japan's and Singapore's.
Soft infrastructure, like education, youth
services, parks and recreation programs, public safety, and a
saner criminal justice system. The United States has 5 percent
of the world's population and 25 percent of the incarcerated population.
That's expensive. And wasteful. Unsafe streets and high crime
are expensive and wasteful.
Infrastructure makes doing business easier,
quicker and cheaper. It becomes an invisible subsidy for all businesses.
Try to imagine, for example, Fed Ex, that entrepreneurial triumph,
without a national web of airports, flight controllers and roads.
The No. 3 target is health care.
Health care in the United States costs
at least 50 percent more than the next-highest spending country
and double what it does in most other modernized countries. All
of them have better health than we do. They live longer and in
The difference is that they have national
health plans. Mostly single-payer, usually tax-supported. Our
plans are based on a hodge-podge of a thousand private insurers.
A single-payer national health plan should
cut the costs of our health care by at least 25 percent, possibly
50 percent. That's an astonishing number. That money could go
to more productive things. Or to even more health care.
American businesses who supply health
care to their employees claim they are noncompetitive with companies
from countries that have national health. This will make them
more competitive. This will make American labor more competitive.
The No. 4 four target is a balanced budget.
There are, in fact, times for deficit
spending. Just as there are times in our personal lives to borrow
and times for business to borrow.
This is probably not one of them.
There is an ocean of money sloshing all
around the world, looking for a home. If there are real business
opportunities in America (like taking the lead in alternative
energy, bio tech, and whatever is next around the corner), it
Especially if there is a sound business
environment and dollar investments return to being the most reliable
in the world. That means paying down our debt.
How can all this be done?
On the wealthy. And on corporations. That's
not class warfare. That's simple practicality.
After your first $20,000, how much of
the next 20 do you need, to live, thrive and survive? Damn near
all of it. After your first 20 million, now much of the next 20
million do you need? Not a nickel.
The rich will whine, writhe and scream
that they won't do business, they'll be driven out of business,
that business will collapse. Bullshit. If they dislike keeping
20 or 30 or 40 cents of each dollar of profit so much that they
won't take the dollar, someone will come along who gladly will.
That's how markets work.
All of this is pretty straightforward
and common sense.
The illogic of Bushenomics is obvious.
The results were foreseeable. After all, similar effects took
place under Reagan and Bush the Elder, until they reversed courses.
The alternatives are equally obvious.
The facts bear out the theory. Go back to Hoover and Roosevelt,
then look at the down, up, down, of Bush the Elder, Bill Clinton,
and Bush the Lesser. (We do note that there are minor industries
dedicated to proving that Franklin Roosevelt was, in the words
of CNN's Glenn Beck, "an evil son of a bitch," that
the New Deal really, really, really didn't work, and that Bush
the Elder was really, really, really responsible for the boom
of the Clinton years and that Clinton was responsible for the
first recession during the reign of Bush the Lesser. But they
are like people who see the image of the Virgin Mary in bread
sticks and crullers.)
None of our politicians, pundits or economists
are addressing the fundamentals.
The last time we switched from the nonsense
of worshiping unmitigated greed, disguised as free marketeering,
it took a market crash and the Great Depression to move us out
of our public relations-manufactured delusions and make us understand
that when we all do well the rich get richer too, so let's start
with the common good.
Based on the dialogue as it stands now,
we will go with tinkering and twaddle, doing more of what doesn't
work. And only if the whole things collapses will we address the
Larry Beinhart is the author of "Wag
the Dog," "The Librarian," and "Fog Facts:
Searching for Truth in the Land of Spin."