Part Three
excerpted from the book
A Century of War
Anglo-American Oil Politics and
the New World Order
by William Engdahl
Pluto Press, 2004, paperback (original
edition 1992)
p153
As early as June 8, 1974, in his capacity as U.S. secretary of
state, Henry Kissinger had signed an agreement establishing a
little-noted U.S.-Saudi Arabian Joint Commission on Economic Cooperation,
whose official mandate included, among other projects, 'cooperation
in the field of finance.' (Kissinger retained the unprecedented
dual posts of national security adviser to the president and secretary
0r state well into Gerald Ford's presidency.)
By December 1974, the nature of this cooperation
had been defined more clearly, though strict secrecy was maintained
by both Saudi and Washington governments. The U.S. Treasury had
signed an agreement in Riyadh with the Saudi Arabian Monetary
Agency, whose mission was 'to establish a new relationship through
the Federal Reserve Bank of New York with the [U.S.] Treasury
borrowing operation. Under this arrangement, SAMA will purchase
new US Treasury securities with maturities of at least one year,'
explained assistant secretary of the U.S. Treasury, Jack F. Bennett,
later to become a director of Exxon. Bennett's memo explaining
the arrangements agreed two months before was dated February 1975
and addressed to Secretary of State Kissinger.
Henry Kissinger had signed an agreement establishing a little-noted
U.S.-Saudi Arabian Joint Commission on Economic Cooperation, whose
official mandate included, among other projects, 'cooperation
in the field of finance.' (Kissinger retained the unprecedented
dual posts of national security adviser to the president and secretary
0r state well into Gerald Ford's presidency.)
By December 1974, the nature of this cooperation
had been defined more clearly, though strict secrecy was maintained
by both Saudi and Washington governments. The U.S. Treasury had
signed an agreement in Riyadh with the Saudi Arabian Monetary
Agency, whose mission was 'to establish a new relationship through
the Federal Reserve Bank of New York with the [U.S.] Treasury
borrowing operation. Under this arrangement, SAMA will purchase
new US Treasury securities with maturities of at least one year,'
explained assistant secretary of the U.S. Treasury, Jack F. Bennett,
later to become a director of Exxon. Bennett's memo explaining
the arrangements agreed two months before was dated February 1975
and addressed to Secretary of State Kissinger.
No less astonishing than these U.S.-Saudi
'arrangements' to one ignorant of the real history of Anglo-American
interests in the Persian Gulf was the exclusive policy decision
by the OPEC oil states to accept only U.S. dollars for their oil-not
German marks, despite their clear value, not Japanese yen, French
francs or even Swiss francs, but only American dollars.
Dollar oil pricing was initially a practice
encouraged after the Second World War by the American oil majors
and by their bankers in New York. But when, following the oil
crisis of early 1974, leading European governments began to enter
into serious negotiations with Arab oil suppliers to secure long-term
oil purchase contracts to cover their import needs, to be paid
in their own national currency-an eminently sensible move which
would have enormously lessened the European impact of the oil
shock-something extraordinary occurred within OPEC. Germany or
France would have had far less difficulty in securing domestic
funds for the payment of its oil imports in Deutschmarks or francs
than in buying dollars for the same oil. This makes it all the
more curious that OPEC ministers, meeting in 1975, agreed to accept
no other currency than the U.S. dollar in payment for deliveries
of its oil, not even the British pound.
This arrangement, needless to say, proved
enormously valuable for the United States dollar and for the financial
institutions of New York and the London Eurodollar markets. The
world was forced to buy huge amounts of dollars more or less continuously,
in order to purchase essential energy supplies. Even more extraordinary,
this OPEC dollar-pricing agreement remained in force despite the
subsequent enormous losses to OPEC as the dollar gyrated up and
down through the next decade and more.
One consequence of the directed recycling
of these petrodollars into London and New York was the emergence
of American banks as the giants of world banking, paralleling
the emergence of their clients, the Seven Sisters oil multinationals,
as the giants of world industry. The Anglo-American oil and banking
combination so overwhelmed the scale of ordinary enterprise that
their power and influence seemed invincible.
In effect, through such secret arrangements
as the U.S.-Saudi Joint Agreement with the Treasury ... as well
as OPEC's strange dollar-pricing mandate, Washington and the New
York banks had exchanged their flawed postwar Bretton Woods gold
exchange system for a new, highly unstable petroleum-based dollar
exchange system, which, unlike the gold exchange system, they
reckoned they could control. Kissinger and the financial establishment
of London and New York had in effect replaced the old gold exchange
standard of the postwar world with their own 'petrodollar standard.'
After all, who really controlled OPEC?
Only the politically naive could believe that Arab countries would
suddenly be allowed to exercise independence on issues of such
importance to British and American interests. Had they really
regarded the oil shock as a life-threatening matter, Washington
could have found numerous ways in which to restore a reasonable
OPEC oil price. They wanted the high oil price and they wanted
OPEC to take the blame for it.
The two reserve currencies of Bretton
Woods, the British pound sterling and the U.S. dollar, remained
at center stage in the new petrodollar order of the 1970s. Sterling
conveniently gained from the vast exploitation of North Sea oil,
which came on line just in time to benefit from the 400 per cent
oil price inflation ... The British pound became known as a 'petrocurrency.'
... Clearly, the May 1973 Bilderberg deliberations
in Saltsjobaden had calculated the winners and losers. No matter
to them that their artificial oil price inflation was a manipulation
of the world economy of such a hideous dimension that it created
an unprecedented transfer of the wealth of the entire world into
the hands of a tiny minority. Was this not, after all, what Adam
Smith meant by the 'magic' of the market?
If the methods look more than a little
like a perverse variation on the old mafia 'protection racket'
game, this is understandable. The same Anglo-American interests
which manipulated political events to create a 400 per cent increase
in the oil price then turned to the countries which were the victims
of assault and 'offered' to lend them petrodollars to finance
the purchase of the costly oil and other vital imports-at a vastly
inflated interest cost, of course.
Real industrial and agricultural development
for a vast majority of the world, living in less-developed regions,
suffered the consequences of the Anglo-American oil policy. The
petrodollars went simply to refinance deficits, rather than to
finance the creation of new infrastructure, to assist agriculture
or to improve the living standards of the world's population.
p158
Frederick Wills, Guyana's minister of foreign affairs, about the
Group of Non-Aligned Nations meeting in Sri Lanka in 1976
In what became known as the Third World,
approximately 80 per cent of mankind lived on the flanks of superpower
rivalry, supplying raw materials for the processing economies
of the First and Second Worlds, and striving to become market
extensions of the market economies of the First World.
Third world politicians at that time
had a different view about their international role, however.
They regarded political independence as merely one essential step
in the path of growth and development. They sought generalized
technological advance, which should be coterminous with diversification
of agriculture and the insertion of such infrastructure as would
lead to the industrialization, and thereby closing of the huge
gaps that separated the different worlds.
Led by Britain and France, the economic
theorists of the First World determined that the export receipts
of the Third World should decide the pace and quality of development
and, when these fell below expectations, resort should be had
to the Bretton Woods system whose machinery had been set up in
the late 1940s. Above all, this meant the requirement of the stamp-of-approval
of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and submission to the
barbarous conditionalities which were the underpinning of IMF
intervention.
This was the context within which the
Summit of the NonAligned Nations was held at Colombo in Sri Lanka
in 1976. There was a call for a new funding institution-an international
resources bank-to replace the iniquitous neocolonialism of the
IMF. There was also a call for diminution of the vertical and
structural economic dependence of the Third World on Britain,
France and the USA, and an increase in horizontal linkages between
Third World countries. There were calls for regional Zolivereins
or customs unions to protect Third World industries, and for technology
transfers in order to remove the harshness of underdevelopment.
The United Nations was chosen as the
arena where it was hoped that a new era of global cooperation
would emerge. These hopes were never realized. One by one, the
outstanding advocates of Third World development were removed
from the seats of domestic power, and their solidarity was defeated
in detail by the age-old principle of 'divide and conquer.' Export
receipts and import prices were manipulated to create enormous
gaps in balances of payments, and Third World countries were told
that they must get the seal of approval of the IMF before any
government or private institution would advance further loans.
The IMF insisted on austere programs based on currency devaluations
which increased misery in the Third World, was directly responsible
for the spread of disease and was also successful in encouraging
drug cultivation, as those unfortunate countries sought the chimera
of a quick cash crop as a panacea for their fiscal difficulties.
p165
At a private closed-door gathering convened in Tokyo in April
1975 and organized by Chase Manhattan Bank chairman David Rockefeller
and Bilderberg founder George W. Ball, a handpicked group of policy
spokesmen met to discuss a special project.
... What concerned the hundred or so influential
policy makers at the April meeting of Rockefeller's newly formed
Trilateral Commission was the dangerous risk to the Anglo-American
establishment of continuing the offensive U.S. foreign policy
stance against the rest of the world associated with Secretary
of State Henry Kissinger and the Republican administration. Kissinger's
hard-line 'divide and rule' tactics had been to isolate one country
after another, whether European, developing sector or OPEC, and
to portray OPEC as the villain to developing countries whose economic
growth had been destroyed by the Bilderberg group's 1973 oil policy.
By 1975, Kissinger's thinly-veiled 'thug'
approach to international diplomacy was risking creating an enormous
international backlash. A new 'image' was needed to persuade the
world of the need for continued American hegemony. Therefore,
at the Tokyo gathering of the Trilateral Commission that April,
little more than a year and a half from the 1976 American presidential
elections, David Rockefeller introduced a man to his influential
international friends as the next president of the United States.
Few Americans, not to mention foreigners, had ever heard of the
small-town Georgia peanut farmer who preferred to be called 'Jimmy'
Carter.
Following his initiation at the 1975 Tokyo
meeting, Carter received an extraordinary public relations buildup
from establishment media such as the liberal New York Times, which
hailed him as a dynamic exponent of America's 'New South.' In
November 1976, despite allegations of voting irregularities, Carter
became president.
Carter brought with him such a large number
of advisers who were members of the Trilateral Commission that
his presidency was dubbed the 'Trilateral Presidency.' Not only
was Carter's vice president, Walter Mondale, like himself, a member
of the elite secretive Trilateral organization, but his national
security adviser, Zbigniew Brzezinski, his secretary of state,
Cyrus Vance, his treasury secretary, Michael Blumenthal, his defense
secretary, Harold Brown, his United Nations' ambassador, Andrew
Young and State Department senior officials Richard Cooper and
Warren Christopher were all part of the exclusive Trilateral club.
The public profile of Carter's presidency
was 'human rights' for the Third World, 'negotiation, not confrontation.'
He portrayed himself as an 'outsider' to the Washington power
establishment, but the content of U.S. policy under Carter, with
his preselected crew of establishment advisers, was to maintain
the American century at all costs. Under a rhetorical facade of
'reforming the old order' of U.S. foreign policy, the Carter administration
continued the basic Anglo-American neo-Malthusian strategy initiated
by Kissinger at the National Security Council under National Security
Study Memorandum 200. Third World development was to be blocked,
and a 'limits to growth' postindustrial policy was to be imposed,
to maintain the hegemony of the dollar imperium. Carter's 'human
rights' was to become a bludgeon to justify unprecedented U.S.
intervention into the internal affairs of targeted Third World
nations.
p169
One major aspect of what Ponto alluded to in his last interview
did come to pass. June 1978, in response to growing frictions
and outright policy clashes with the Carter administration on
nuclear energy policy, international monetary policy, the free
fall of the dollar, and just about every foreign policy issue
of importance to Continental Europe, the member governments of
the European Community, on the initiative of France and Germany,
took steps to create the first phase of what was seen as a European
currency zone, a first attempt to insulate Continental Europe
from the shocks of the dollar regime.
German Chancellor Helmut Schmidt and France's
President Giscard d'Estaing proposed the establishment what became
Phase I of the European Monetary System (EMS), in which the central
banks of nine European Community member countries agreed to stabilize
their currencies in relation to one another. With growing trade
flows concentrated inside the community, the EMS provided a minimal
basis for defending intra-European trade and monetary relations.
In early 1979 the EMS became operational
and its effect in stabilizing European currencies was notable.
But the future possibilities of the EMS were what worried certain
circles in London and Washington. It had ominous overtones of
becoming a seed crystal for an alternative world monetary order
which could threaten the existing hegemony of the 'petrodollar
monetary system.
p171
In November 1978, President Carter named the Bilderberg group's
George Ball, [a] member of the Trilateral Commission, to head
a special White House Iran task force under the National Security
Council's Brzezinski. Ball recommended that Washington drop support
for the Shah of Iran and support the fundamentalist Islamic opposition
of Ayatollah Khomeini. Robert Bowie from the CIA was one of the
lead 'case officers' in the new CIA-led coup against the man their
covert actions had placed into power 25 years earlier.
Their scheme was based on a detailed study
of the phenomenon of Islamic fundamentalism, as presented by British
Islamic expert, Dr. Bernard Lewis, then on assignment at Princeton
University in the United States. Lewis's scheme, which was unveiled
at the May 1979 Bilderberg meeting in Austria, endorsed the radical
Muslim Brotherhood movement behind Khomeini, in order to promote
balkanization of the entire Muslim Near East along tribal and
religious lines. Lewis argued that the West should encourage autonomous
groups such as the Kurds, Armenians, Lebanese Maronites, Ethiopian
Copts, Azerbaijani Turks, and so forth. The chaos would spread
in what he termed an 'Arc of Crisis,' which would spill over into
the Muslim regions of the Soviet Union.
The coup against the Shah [of Iran], like
that against Mossadegh in 1953, was run by British and American
intelligence.
p172
As Iran's domestic economic troubles grew, American 'security'
advisers to the Shah's Savak secret police implemented a policy
of ever more brutal repression, in a manner calculated to maximize
popular antipathy to the Shah. At the same time, the Carter administration
cynically began protesting abuses of 'human rights' under the
Shah.
British Petroleum reportedly began to
organize capital flight out of Iran, through its strong influence
in Iran's financial and banking community. The British Broadcasting
Corporation's Persian-language broadcasts, with dozens of Persian-speaking
BBC 'correspondents' sent into even the smallest village, drummed
up hysteria against the regime in exaggerated reporting of incidents
of protest against the Shah. The BBC gave the Ayatollah Khomeini
a full propaganda platform inside Iran during this time. The British
government-owned broadcasting organization refused to give the
Shah's government an equal chance to reply. Repeated personal
appeals from the Shah to the BBC yielded no result. Anglo-American
intelligence was committed to toppling the Shah. The Shah fled
in January, and by February 1979, Khomeini had been flown into
Tehran to proclaim the establishment of his repressive theocratic
state to replace the Shah's government.
... With the fall of the Shah and the
coming to power of the fanatical Khomeini adherents in Iran, chaos
was unleashed. By May 1979, the new Khomeini regime had singled
out the country's nuclear power development plans and announced
cancellation of the entire program for French and German nuclear
reactor construction.
Iran's oil exports to the world were suddenly
cut off, some 3 million barrels per day. Curiously, Saudi Arabian
production in the critical days of January 1979 was also cut by
some 2 million barrels per day. To add to the pressures on world
oil supply, British Petroleum declared force majeure and cancelled
major contracts for oil supply. Prices on the Rotterdam spot market,
heavily influenced by BP and Royal Dutch Shell as the largest
oil traders, soared in early 1979 as a result. The second oil
shock of the 1970s was fully under way.
p174
In October 1979, a devastating new Anglo-American financial shock
was unleashed on top of the second oil crisis of that year. That
August, on the advice of David Rockefeller and other influential
voices of the Wall Street banking establishment, President Carter
appointed Paul A. Volcker, the man who, back in August 1971, had
been a key architect of the policy of taking the dollar off the
gold standard, to head the Federal Reserve. Volcker, a former
official at Rockefeller's Chase Manhattan Bank, and, of course,
a member of David Rockefeller's Trilateral Commission, was president
of the New York Federal Reserve at the time of his appointment
as head of the worId's most powerful central bank.
... In October 1979, [Paul] Volcker unveiled
a radical new Federal Reserve monetary policy... It was aimed
at making the U.S. dollar the most eagerly sought currency in
the world and to stop industrial growth dead in its tracks, in
order that political and financial power flow back to the dollar
imperium.
The defect in Volcker's monetary shock
therapy was that he never addressed the fundamental origins of
the soaring inflation-two oil price shocks since 1973, which had
raised the price of the world's basic energy and transportation
by 1,300 per cent in six years. And Volcker's insistence on restricting
the U.S. money supply by cutting credit to banks, consumers and
the economy, was also a calculated fraud.
... U.S. interest rates on the Eurodollar
market soared from 10 per cent to 16 per cent, on their way up
to levels of 20 per cent in a matter of weeks, as the world looked
on in stunned disbelief. Inflation was indeed being 'squeezed'
as the world economy was plunged into the deepest depression since
the 1930s. And the dollar began what was to be an extraordinary
five-year-long ascent.
p178
As the most influential American publicist of nineteenth-century
British liberalism, the aristocratic Walter Lippmann defined this
class society in a modern framework for an American audience.
Society, Lippmann argued, should be divided into the great vulgar
masses of a largely ignorant 'public,' which is then steered by
an elite or a 'special class,' which Lippmann termed the 'responsible
men,' who would decide the terms of what would be called 'the
national interest.' This elite would become the dedicated bureaucracy,
to serve the interests of private power and private wealth, but
the truth of their relationship to the power of private wealth
should never be revealed to the broader ignorant public. 'They
wouldn't understand.'
The general population must have the illusion,
Lippmann argued, that it is actually exerting 'democratic' power.
This illusion must be shaped by the elite body of 'responsible
men' in what was termed the 'manufacture of consent... In its
concept of an elite specialized few, ruling on behalf of the greater
masses, modern Anglo-American liberalism bore a curious similarity
to the Leninist concept of a 'vanguard party,' which imposed a
'dictatorship of the proletariat' in the name of some future ideal
of society. Both models were based on deception of the broader
populace.'
More and more, following the turning point
of the 1957 U.S. economic recession, the enormous power of a small
number of international banks and related petroleum multinationals,
concentrated in New York, defined the contents of an American
'liberalism,' based on adaptation of the nineteenth-century British
imperial model. The American version of this enlightened liberal
model would be shaped from an aristocracy of money, rather than
the blue-blood aristocracy of birth. But increasingly, as a consequence
of the economic policy decisions of the American East Coast liberal
establishment-so-called because its center of power was built
around the New York finance and oil conglomerates-the United States
became transformed. America, once the ideal of freedom for much
of the world, became, step-by-step, transformed into the opposite,
and at a quickening pace during the 1970s and 1980s, while she
retained a rhetorical facade of 'freedom and liberty.'
The combined impact of the two staggering
oil shocks of the 1970s, and the resulting hyperinflation this
set into motion, created, in effect, a new American 'landed aristocracy,'
in which those who owned property suddenly saw themselves become
millionaires overnight, not as a consequence of enterprise or
successful manufacturing or scientific invention, but merely as
the consequence of possession of land-real estate, dead dirt.
But if the oil shocks set off this polarization
of society into a minority of the increasingly wealthy and a vast
majority whose living standards were slowly sinking, the monetary
shock therapy imposed on the United States by Paul Volcker after
October 6, 1979 helped the task to its ultimate conclusion.
... In early May 1979, Margaret Thatcher
won the British general election against her Labour Party opponent,
James Callaghan. She had campaigned on a platform of 'squeezing
inflation out of the economy.' But Thatcher, and the inner circle
of modern-day Adam Smith 'free market' ideologues which surrounded
her, promoted a consumer fraud, insisting that government deficit
spending, and not the 140 per cent increase in the price of oil
since the fall of Iran's Shah, was the chief 'cause' of Britain's
18 per cent rate of price inflation.
According to the Thatcher government claim,
inflated prices could again be lowered simply by cutting the supply
of money to the economy, and since the major source of 'surplus
money,' she argued, was from chronic government budget deficits,
government expenditure must be savagely cut in order to reduce
'monetary inflation.' The Bank of England, as their contribution
to the remedy, simultaneously restricted credit to the economy
by a policy of high interest rates. Predictably, the effect was
depression; but it was called instead the 'Thatcher revolution.'
Cut and squeeze. Thatcher did just that.
In June 1979, only one month after taking office, Thatcher's chancellor
of the exchequer, Sir Geoffrey Howe, began a process of raising
base rates for the banking system a staggering five percentage
points, from 12 per cent up to 17 per cent, over a matter of twelve
weeks. This amounted to an unprecedented 42 per cent increase
in the cost of borrowing for industry and homeowners. Never in
modern history had an industrialized nation undergone such a shock
in such a brief period, outside the context of a wartime economic
emergency.
The Bank of England simultaneously began
to cut the money supply, to ensure that interest rates remained
high. Businesses went bankrupt, unable to pay borrowing costs;
families were unable to buy new homes; long-term investment in
power plants, subways, railroads and other infrastructure ground
virtually to a halt as a consequence of Thatcher's monetarist
revolution.
But the principal problem with the British
economy at the end of the 1970s was(not government ownership of
companies such as the British Leyland car group, Rolls-Royce or
the many other enterprises which have since been auctioned off
to private investors. The main problem was lack of investment
by the government in upgrading public infrastructure, in the education
of its skilled labor force, and in scientific research and development.
It was not 'government,' but rather wrong government policy, in
response to the economic shocks of the previous ten or more years,
which was at fault.
Thatcher's 'economic revolution' applied
the wrong medicine to 'cure' the wrong disease. But the international
financial interests of the City of London and the powerful petroleum
companies grouped around Shell, British Petroleum and their allies
were the intended real beneficiaries, as was the perceived strategic
British 'balance-of-power' calculus. Thatcher was a simple grocer's
daughter, groomed by her cynical patrons to act out a role for
their greater geopolitical designs.
As Thatcher imposed the policies which
earned her the name 'Iron Lady,' unemployment in Britain doubled,
rising from 1.5 million when she came into office to a level of
3 million by the end of her first 18 months. Labor unions were
targeted under Thatcher as obstacles to the success of the monetarist
'revolution,' a prime cause of the 'enemy,' inflation. All this
time, with British Petroleum and Royal Dutch Shell exploiting
the astronomical price of $36 or more per barrel for their North
Sea oil, never a word was uttered against Big Oil or the City
of London banks, which were amassing huge sums of capital as a
result of the situation. Thatcher also moved to accommodate the
big City banks by removing exchange controls, so that instead
of capital being invested in rebuilding Britain's rotten industrial
base, funds flowed out in speculation on real estate in Hong Kong
or lucrative loans to Latin America.
Beginning in Britain, then moving to the
United States, and from there radiating outward from the Anglo-American
world, the radical monetarism of Thatcher and Volcker spread like
a cancer, with its insistent demands to cut government spending,
lower taxes, deregulate industry and break the power of organized
labor. Interest rates rose around the world to levels never before
considered possible.
p183
Six months after [Margaret] Thatcher, took office, Ronald Reagan
was elected... Reagan kept Milton Friedman as an unofficial adviser
on economic policy. His administration was filled with disciples
of Friedman's radical monetarism, much as Carter's had been with
exponents of David Rockefeller's Trilateral Commission.
This entire radical monetarist construct,
first advanced in the early 1980s by the British regime of Thatcher
and soon afterwards by the U.S. Federal Reserve and the Reagan
administration, was one of the most cruel economic frauds ever
perpetrated. But its aim was other than what its ideological 'supply-side'
economics advocates claimed.
The powerful liberal establishment circles
of the City of London and New York were determined to use the
same radical measures earlier imposed by Friedman to break the
economy of Chile under Pinochet's military dictatorship, this
time in order to inflict a devastating second blow against long-term
industrial and infrastructure investment in the entire world economy.
The relative power of Anglo-American finance was thus to become
again hegemonic.
p183
It would be no exaggeration to say that there would not have been
a Third World debt crisis during the 1980s had it not been for
Margaret Thatcher's and Paul Volcker's radical monetary shock
policies.
As the average cost of their petroleum
imports, denominated in US dollars, rose some 140 per cent following
the Iran oil shock in early 1979, developing countries this time
around found that the dollar itself, in terms of their local currencies,
was also rising like an Apollo rocket because of the high U.S.
interest rates caused by Volcker's policy. Not only could most
struggling developing countries barely manage the borrowings to
finance the oil deficits built up from the 1974 oil crisis; by
1980, an entirely new element faced them-floating interest rates
on their Eurodollar borrowings.
... as early as 1973 the Anglo-American
financial insiders of the Bilderberg group had discussed using
the major private commercial banks of New York and London, in
the London-centered Eurodollar market, to recycle what Henry Kissinger
and others referred to as the new OPEC petrodollar surpluses.
The sudden glut of new OPEC oil funds, which was steered into
the London Eurodollar banks during the oil crises of the 1970s,
was to be the source of the greatest unregulated lending spree
since the 1920s.
London had evolved as the geographical
center for this Eurodollar 'offshore' market because the Bank
of England, over a period since the 1960s, had made it clear that
it would not attempt to regulate or control the flows of foreign
currencies in the London Eurodollar banking market. It was part
of their strategy of reconstructing the City of London as the
center of world finance.
p185
With the application of the Thatcher government's interest-rate
monetary shock beginning June 1979, followed that October by the
same policy from Paul Volcker's Federal Reserve, the interest
rate burdens of Third World debt compounded overnight, as interest
rates on the London Eurodollar market climbed from an average
of 7 per cent in early 1978 to almost 20 per cent by early 1980.
Due to this one factor alone, Third World
debtor countries would have collapsed into default as the altered
debt service conditions imposed on them by the creditor banks
added an unpayable new amount to their previous onerous debt burden.
But even more unsettling were the uncanny parallels of policy
then imposed by the leading London and New York bankers, virtually
a letter-by-letter rerun of the same banks' Versailles war reparations
debt-recycling folly of the 1920s, which had collapsed into chaos
in October 1929 with the crash of the New York stock market.
As interest rate burdens on their foreign
debt obligations soared to the stratosphere after 1980, the market
for Third World debtor country commodity exports to the industrial
countries, which were critical to repaying those debt burdens,
collapsed, as the industrial economies were plunged into the deepest
economic downturn since the world depression of the 1930s-a result
of the impact of the Thatcher-Volcker monetary shock 'cure.'
Third World debtor countries began to
get squeezed in the blades of a vicious scissors of deteriorating
terms of trade for their commodity exports, falling export earnings,
and a soaring debt service ratio. This, in short, was what Washington
and London preferred to call the 'Third World debt crisis.' But
the crisis had been made in London, New York and Washington, not
in Mexico City, Brasilia, Buenos Aires, Lagos or Warsaw.
p187
Under the presidency of José Lopez Portillo, beginning
late 1976, Mexico had undertaken an impressive modernization and
industrialization program. Lopez Portillo's government had determined
to use its 'oil patrimony' to industrialize the country into a
modern nation. Ports, roads, petrochemical plants, modern irrigated
agriculture complexes, and even a nuclear power program were undertaken.
Significant and nationally controlled oil resources were to be
the means for modernizing Mexico.
By 1981, after the Volcker interest rate
shock, certain Washington and New York policy circles determined
that the prospect of a strong industrial Mexico, a 'Japan on our
southern border,' as one American establishment person derisively
called it, would 'not be tolerated.' As with Iran earlier, a modern
independent Mexico was considered by certain powerful Anglo-American
interests to be intolerable. The decision was made to intervene
to sabotage Mexico's industrialization ambitions by securing rigid
repayment, at exorbitant rates, of her foreign debt.
A well-prepared run on the Mexican peso
was orchestrated beginning the fall of 1981 ...
p188
By February 19, 1982, the Mexican government was forced to impose
a draconian austerity program, in the desperate hope of stabilizing
the flood of flight capital out of Mexico into the United States.
Powerful vested financial interests exerted strong pressure on
Lopez Portillo to prevent his taking what would have been the
necessary defense of reimposing Mexican foreign exchange controls.
The capital flight accelerated.
That February 19, the Lopez Portillo government
cracked under the pressure. The Mexican peso was devalued by an
immediate 30 per cent to try to stem the capital outflow and stabilize
the situation. The domestic consequence was that private Mexican
industry, which had borrowed dollars to finance investment in
the previous years, led by the once-powerful Alfa Group of Monterrey,
was made bankrupt overnight. Its earnings were in pesos, and its
debt service in the vastly more costly dollars. Simply to maintain
its previous debt service position, a company would have had to
increase peso prices by 30 per cent, or cut costs by reducing
its workforce. The devaluation also forced reduction in Mexico's
industrial program, cuts in living standards, and increased domestic
inflation. Mexico, only months earlier the most rapidly growing
economy in the developing world, had been plunged into chaos by
the spring of 1982.
p192
Henry Kissinger had formed a high-powered new consultancy firm,
Kissinger Associates Inc., which numbered on its select board
Aspen Institute chairman and oil magnate Robert 0. Anderson, Thatcher's
former foreign secretary, Lord Carrington, together with Bank
of England and S.G. Warburg director, Lord Roll of Ipsden. Kissinger
Associates worked together with the New York banks and circles
of the Washington administration to impose, 'case-by-case,' the
most onerous debt collection terms since the Versailles reparations
process of the early 1920s.
Following the September 30 UN speech of
Secretary of State Shultz, the powerful private banking interests
of New York and London overruled any voices of reason. They managed
to bring in the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England and, most
importantly, the powers of the International Monetary Fund, to
act as the international 'policemen,' in what was to become the
most concerted organized looting operation in modern history,
far exceeding anything achieved during the 1920s.
... Mexico, under this IMF regimen, was
forced to slash subsidies on vital medicines, foodstuffs, fuels,
and other necessities for its population. People, often infants,
died needlessly for lack of the most basic medicine imports.
The IMF then dictated a series of Mexican
peso devaluations to 'spur exports.' In early 1982, before the
first 30 per cent devaluation, the peso stood at 12 pesos to one
U.S. dollar. By 1986, an incredible 862 Mexican pesos were needed
to buy one dollar, and by 1989 the sum had climbed to 2,300 pesos.
But Mexico's total foreign debt, almost all of it 'taken over'
by the national government from the Mexican private sector under
demands from the New York banks and their Washington allies, grew
from some $82 billion to just under $100 billion by the end of
1985. Mexico was rapidly going in the direction of Germany in
the early 1920s.
The same process was repeated in Argentina,
Brazil, Peru, Venezuela, most of black Africa, including Zambia,
Zaire and Egypt, and large parts of Asia. The IMF had become the
global 'policeman' to enforce payment of usurious debts through
imposition of the most draconian austerity in history. With the
crucial voting bloc of the IMF firmly controlled by an American-British
axis, the institution became the global enforcer of Anglo-American
monetary and economic interests in a manner never before seen.
p196
A study by a Danish economist [Hans K. Rasmussen] commissioned
by the Danish UNICEF Committee ... pointed out that what has taken
place since the early 1980s has been a wealth transfer from the
capital-starved Third World, primarily into the financing of deficits
in the United States, and to a lesser degree Britain. Rasmussen
estimated that during the 1980s, the combined nations of the developing
sector transferred a total of $400 billion into the United States
alone. This allowed the Reagan administration to finance the largest
peacetime deficits in world history, while falsely claiming credit
for 'the world's longest peacetime recovery.'
With high U.S. interest rates, a rising
dollar, and the security of American government backing, fully
43 per cent of the record high U.S. budget deficits during the
1980s were 'financed' by this de facto looting of capital from
the debtor countries of the once-developing sector. As with the
Anglo-American bankers in the post-First World War Versailles
reparations debt process, the debt was merely a vehicle to establish
de facto economic control over entire sovereign countries ...
In May 1986, a staff study prepared for
the joint Economic Committee of the U.S. Congress on the 'Impact
of the Latin American Debt Crisis on the U.S. Economy' took note
of some of these alarming aspects of how the problem was being
handled by the Reagan administration. The report documented the
devastating losses of U.S. jobs and exports as the IMF austerity
measures forced Latin America to virtually halt industrial and
other imports in order to service the debt. The authors noted:
it is now becoming clear that Administration
policies have gone above and beyond what was needed for protecting
the money center banks from insolvency ... the Reagan Administration's
management of the debt crisis has in effect, rewarded the institutions
that played a major role in precipitating the crisis and penalized
those sectors of the U.S. economy that had played no role in causing
the debt crisis.
p197
In a study of the capital flight out of Latin America, Professor
Joe Foweraker at the University of California at San Diego, noted
that facilitating capital flight flows for such clients had become
one of the most profitable parts of the debt crisis for the large
U.S. banks during the 1980s. He noted that in addition to some
$50 billion annual interest payments from the hard-pressed debtor
governments, these large banks, such as Citicorp, Chase Manhattan,
Morgan Guaranty and Bank of America, were bringing in flight capital
assets of some $100-120 billion from the very countries against
whom they demanded brutal domestic austerity to 'stabilize' the
currency. It was more than a little hypocritical, and more than
a little lucrative for the banks.
The annual return for the New York and
London banks on their Latin American flight capital business,
kept in strictest secrecy, was reliably reported to average 70
per cent. As one such private banker said, 'Some banks would kill
to get a piece of this business.' That was putting it mildly.
In 1983 the London Financial Times reported that Brazil was far
and away the most profitable banking part of Citicorp's worldwide
operations.
If anything, Africa fared even worse than
Latin America as a result of the Anglo-American debt strategy.
... Until the 1980s, black Africa remained
90 per cent dependent on raw materials export for financing its
development. Beginning the early 1980s, the world dollar price
of such raw materials-everything from cotton to coffee, copper,
iron ore and sugar-began an almost uninterrupted fall. By 1987,
raw materials prices had fallen to the lowest levels since the
Second World War, as low as their level of 1932-a year of deep
world economic depression.
If the prices for such raw material exports
had been stable, at merely the price levels of the 1980 period,
black Africa would have earned an additional $150 billion during
the decade of the 1980s. In 1982, at the beginning of the 'debt
crisis,' these countries of Africa owed creditor banks in the
United States, Europe and Japan some $73 billion. By the end of
the decade, this sum, through debt 'rescheduling' and various
IMF interventions into their economies, had more than doubled,
to $160 billions-in short, almost exactly the sum which these
countries would have earned at a stable export price level.
It begins to appear that a very different
process was occurring than what the average citizen in a west
European or American city was reading daily in the newspapers
regarding the reality of this debt. Powerful British and U.S.
multinationals followed the banks during the 1980s to set up child-labor
sweatshops in places such as along the Mexican border with the
United States. These maquiladores, as the low-skill assembly plants
were named, employed desperate Mexican children aged 14 or 15
for wages of 50 cents an hour, to produce goods for General Motors
or Ford Motor Company or various U.S. electrical companies. They
were allowed by the Mexican government, because they 'earned'
dollars needed to service the debt.
p200
While the policies imposed after October 1982 to collect billions
from Third World countries brought a huge windfall of financial
liquidity to the American banking system, the ideology of Wall
Street, and Treasury Secretary Donald Regan's zeal for lifting
the government 'shackles' off the financial markets, resulted
in the greatest extravaganza in world financial history. When
the dust settled by the end of that decade, some began to realize
that Reagan's 'free market' had destroyed an entire national economy.
It happened to be the world's largest economy, and the base of
world monetary stability as well.
On the simple-minded and quite mistaken
argument that a mere removing of the tax burden on the individual
or company would allow them to release 'stifled creative energies'
and other entrepreneurial talents, President Ronald Reagan in
August 1981 signed the largest tax reduction bill in postwar history.
The bill contained provisions which also gave generous tax relief
for certain speculative forms of real estate investment, especially
commercial real estate. Government restrictions on corporate takeovers
were also removed, and Washington gave the clear signal that 'anything
goes so long as it stimulated the Dow Jones Industrials stock
index.
A central feature of the Reagan supply-side
credo echoing Margaret Thatcher in Britain, was to identify trade
unions as 'part of the problem.' A British-style class confrontation
was set up, and the result was the cracking of the organized labor
movement.
Deregulation of government control over
transportation was a central weapon of the policy. Trucking and
airline transportation were 'set free.' Nonunion 'cut-rate' airlines
and trucking companies proliferated, often with low or no safety
standards. Accident rates climbed, wage levels of union workers
plunged. While the Reagan 'recovery' was turning young stock traders
into multimillionaires, seemingly at the push of a computer key,
it was reducing the standard of living of the skilled blue-collar
workforce. No one in Washington paid much attention. After all,
the conservative Reagan Republicans argued, trade unions were
'almost like communists.' A nineteenth-century British-style 'cheap
labor' policy dominated official Washington as never before.
... The real living standard for the majority
of Americans steadily decreased, while that of a minority rose
as never before. Society was becoming polarized around income
differentials.
The new dogma of a 'postindustrial society'
was being preached from Washington to New York to California.
No longer was America's economic prosperity linked to investment
in the most modern industrial capacities. Steel had been declared
a 'rust-belt' industry, as steel plants were allowed to rust or
blast furnaces were actually dynamited. Shopping centers, glittery
new Atlantic City gambling casinos, and luxury resort hotels were
'where the money' was.
During the speculative boom of most of
the Reagan years, the money also flowed in from abroad to finance
this wild spree. No one seemed to mind that in the process, by
the mid 1980s, the United States had within five short years passed
from being the world's largest creditor to becoming a net debtor
nation, for the first time since 1914.
... The national debt expanded, along
with the deficits, all paying Wall Street bond dealers and their
clients record sums in interest income. Interest payments on the
total debt by the U.S. government doubled in six years, going
from $52 billion in 1980, when Reagan was elected, to more than
$142 billion by 1986-a sum equal to one-fifth of all government
revenue. But despite such warning signs, money flowed in from
Germany, from Britain, from Holland, from Japan, to take advantage
of the high dollar and the speculative gains in real estate and
stocks.
To anyone with a sense of history or a
long memory, it was all too familiar. It had all happened during
the 'Roaring '20s'-until the 1929 market crash brought the roulette
wheel to an abrupt halt.
p202
... Saudi Arabia was persuaded to run a 'reverse oil shock' and
flood the depressed world oil market with its abundant oil. The
price of OPEC oil dropped like a stone, to below $10 per barrel
by spring of 1986, from an average of nearly $26 only some months
earlier. Magically, Wall Street economists proclaimed the final
'victory' over inflation, while conveniently ignoring the role
of oil in creating the inflation of the 1970s or in reducing it
in the 1980s.
Then, when a further fall in oil prices
threatened to destabilize vital interests of the large British
and American oil majors themselves, not merely the small independent
rival producers, George Bush made a quiet trip to Riyadh in March
1986, where he reportedly told King Fahd that he should stop the
price war.
... This 1986 oil-price collapse unleashed
what was comparable to the 1927-29 phase in the U.S. speculative
bubble. Interest rates dropped even more dramatically, as money
flowed in to make a 'killing' on the New York stock markets. A
new financial perversion became fashionable on Wall Street, the
'leveraged buyout.' With money costs falling and stock prices
apparently ever rising, and a Reagan administration which promoted
the religion of the 'free market,' anything was allowed.
p204
Over the decade of the Reagan years, almost $1 trillion flowed
into speculative real estate investment, a record sum, almost
double the sums of previous years. Banks, desiring to secure their
balance sheets against troubles in Latin America, for the first
time went directly into real estate lending rather than traditional
corporate lending.
Savings and loan banks, established as
separately regulated banks during the depression years to provide
a secure source of longterm mortgage credit to family homebuyers,
were 'deregulated' in the early 1980s as part of Treasury Secretary
Donald Regan's Wall Street free-market push. They were allowed
to 'bid' for wholesale deposits, termed 'brokered deposits,' at
a high cost. The Reagan administration removed all regulatory
restraints in October 1982, with passage of the Garn-St. Germain
Act. This act allowed savings and loan (S&L) banks to invest
in any scheme they desired, with full U.S. government insurance
of $100,000 per account guaranteeing the risk in case of failure.
Prophetically, as he signed the new Garn-St.
Germain Act into law, President Reagan enthusiastically told an
audience of invited S&L bankers, 'I think we've hit the jackpot.'
This 'jackpot' was the beginning of the collapse of the $1.3 trillion
savings and loan banking system.
p205
The simple reality was that New York financial power had so overwhelmed
all other national interests since the oil shocks of the 1970s
that almost no other voice was heard in Washington after the Mexico
crisis of 1982. Debt grew by astonishing amounts. When Reagan
won the election in late 1980, total private and public debt of
the United States stood at $3,873 billion. By the end of the decade,
it touched $10 trillion, or $10,000 billion. This meant an increased
debt burden of more than $6,000 billion during this brief span.'°
With the debt burden carried by the productive
economy rising, and U.S. industrial plant and the labor force
deteriorating, the cumulative effects of two decades of neglect
began to become manifest in wholesale collapse of the vital public
infrastructure of the nation. Highways cracked for lack of regular
maintenance; bridges became structurally unsound and in many cases
collapsed; in depressed areas such as Pittsburgh, water systems
were allowed to become contaminated; hospitals in major cities
fell into disrepair; housing stock for the less wealthy decayed
dramatically. By 1989, the association for the construction industry,
Associated General Contractors of America, estimated that a net
investment of $3.3 trillion was urgently needed merely to rebuild
America's crumbling public infrastructure modern standards. No
one in Washington listened.
p206
Reagan-Bush tax policies had concentrated wealth into a tiny elite,
as never before in U.S. history. Since 1980, according to a study
carried out by the U.S. House Ways and Means Committee of Congress,
real income for the top 20 percent increased a full 32 per cent.
p206
Costs of American health care, a reflection of the strange combination
of 'free enterprise' and government subsidy, rose to the highest
levels ever, and as a share of GNP, to double that of the United
Kingdom; yet 37 million Americans had no health insurance whatever.
Health levels in large American cities, with impoverished ghettoes
of black and Hispanic unemployed, resembled those of a Third World
country, not what was supposed to be the world's most advanced
industrial nation.
p206
Thatcher's eleven-year rule in Britain had produced ... disastrous
results. Real estate speculation and a vastly increased financial
services 'industry' in the City of London obscured the fact that
Thatcher's economic policy severely discriminated against industrial
investment, and against modernization of the nation's deteriorating
public infrastructure, such as railways and highways. The financial
deregulation of the City of London in 1986, appropriately termed
the 'Big Bang,' was among Thatcher's proudest 'accomplishments.'
But by the end of the 1980s everything was unravelling: interest
rates again climbed to double digits, industry went into a deep
slump and later a depression worse than any since the war, and
inflation rose to the level it had been at when Thatcher took
office in 1979.
On its own terms, Thatcher economics had
failed, as had its twin sister, Reagan economics. But the powerful
oil and finance interests of London and New York were not the
least deterred. Their domain in this 'postindustrial' imperium
was global, not parochial. They demanded financial deregulation
everywhere-Frankfurt, Tokyo, Mexico City, Paris, Milan, Säo
Paulo.
p207
On October 19, 1987, the bubble burst. On that day the prices
on the Dow Jones Index traded at the New York Stock Exchange collapsed
more than in any single day in history, by 508 points. The bottom
had fallen out of the Reagan 'recovery.' But not out of the strategy
of the Thatcher-Bush wing of the Anglo-American establishment.
They were determined to ensure that sufficient funds kept the
bubble afloat until the new Bush presidency could impose the grand
strategy for the century's end.
While many comments have since been made
about how the October 1987 crash proved that depressions of the
1930s sort were a thing of the past, it did indeed signal the
beginning of the end of the deregulated financial speculation
which had kept the Anglo-American century afloat since the early
1970s.
George Bush, facing a presidential election
the following November 1988, enlisted the efforts of his former
campaign manager and close friend, Treasury Secretary James Baker,
along with a powerful faction of the American establishment, to
guarantee that, despite the implications of the October 1987 crash,
foreign capital would continue to flow into U.S. bond and stock
markets to keep the illusion of a Reagan-Bush economic recovery
alive in the minds of voters.
Direct Washington appeals to the Japanese
government of Prime Minister Nakasone, arguing that a Democratic
president such as Gephardt would damage Japanese trade to the
U.S., were successful. Nakasone pressed the Bank of Japan and
the Ministry of Finance to be accommodating. After October 1987,
Japanese interest rates fell progressively lower, making U.S.
stocks and bonds, as well as real estate, appear 'cheap' by comparison.
Billions of dollars flowed out of Tokyo into the United States.
p208
Tie actual plan of the new Bush administration was to direct pressures
onto select U.S. allies for increased burden sharing' to manage
the huge U.S. debt burdens. The argument was put forward that
the Soviet Union was collapsing and that, as a result, only one
superpower with overpowering military might and size remained
the United States. In this situation, the argument was offered
that Germany, Japan and other major economic and military allies
of America should increase their financial support to maintain
this Superpower. It was a thinly veiled attempt at blackmail.
A Century of War
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