Fighting for America's
Energy Independence
by Matt Bivens
The Nation magazine, April 15, 2002
Byron Dorgan, a North Dakota Democrat, took to the Senate
floor on February 27 with an impassioned plea for a small federal
subsidy that has fueled an explosion of activity in the wind-power
industry. "Congress is messing around back and forth, stuttering,
and not getting it done," Dorgan complained.
The so-called wind production tax credit (PTC) Dorgan was
championing is tiny as subsidies go-over a decade it has cost
roughly $55 million and remarkably effective. Wind is the fastest-growing
energy industry in the world, and last year was the US wind-power
industry's best ever, with power capacity equivalent to that of
roughly six coal-fired power plants coming online-minus coal's
pollution. "The exciting thing is, [wind-power growth] is
happening all over the country-it's not just California,"
says Christine Real de Azua, a spokeswoman for the American Wind
Energy Association.
Nevertheless, the wind PTC struggled to get a proper hearing.
Finally, on March 8, Congress approved a meager two-year extension,
which wind's supporters had tacked onto the unemployment insurance
bill. That's a short time frame for investors to do much planning,
though, so Dorgan and others continue to push for at least a five-year
extension.
Judged just on its merits, this would probably pass with bipartisan
support. But Congress is tentatively committed to gargantuan new
subsidies to coal, oil, gas and nuclear power-the only disagreement
so far is exactly how obscenely enormous they will be. So the
five-year wind PTC will be held hostage, to provide green window
dressing for less admirable legislation. The Republican energy
plan, touted in the President's State of the Union address, would
dole out $35.6 billion over ten years-or about $125 per American-to
the oil, gas, coal and nuclear industries. The Democratic Senate
energy bill is larded with almost as many tax-funded mega-giveaways
to polluters. By contrast, the wind PTC has, to date, cost every
American about 19 cents.
The good news is that wind power and other renewables don't
have to depend on federal leadership. An energy revolution of
wind, solar and clean-burning hydrogen fuels is fast approaching-thanks
to engineers and entrepreneurs, farsighted state governments and
business realities: Renewables have been steadily dropping in
price. They are winning victories in the marketplace even while
swimming against the federal riptide of subsidies to Big Oil and
King Coal.
'Greenery, Market Forces, Innovation'
America is the Persian Gulf of wind. The Energy Department
estimates that wind in the Dakotas alone could meet two-thirds
of America's electricity needs; Texas could meet the last one-third.
But there are good winds across America-in a ranking of the top
states for wind, California, the windpower poster-child, comes
in at a lowly seventeenth. Solar power is equally bountiful: The
Union of Concerned Scientists says 100 square miles in Nevada
could produce enough solar electricity to power the nation.
Worldwide, solar-like wind-is experiencing growth rates reminiscent
of the computer industry. Germany has harnessed a world-leading
6,000 megawatts of wind power-roughly equal to twenty coal-fired
power plants-and has decided to phase out nuclear power entirely
by 2025. Japan and Germany are putting photovoltaic solar panels
on thousands of roofs, while Spain and the Philippines last year
agreed to bring solar electricity to 400,000 rural Filipinos.
A similar program has been under way in South Africa since 1999,
with Nelson Mandela's vocal support. And Ireland just announced
what will be the world's largest offshore wind park. Eddie O'Connor,
managing director of Ireland's utility Eirtricity, says offshore
wind could provide two-thirds of Europe's electricity by 2020.
"The resource is there, the technology is proven, the costs
continue to drop-all that is needed is the political will to see
it happen," O'Connor says.
Most important, wind and solar power can now be efficiently
stored by using them to create hydrogen, a fuel that generates
only drinkable water as waste. Electricity generated from wind
or sunlight can be used to zap water-"electrolyze" it-to
harvest the H from H2O. That hydrogen can then be used in fuel
cells to produce heat and electricity or to power automobiles.
Lester Brown of the Earth Policy Institute envisions wind farms
producing electricity by day and hydrogen for cars by night. "None
of this is as pie-in-the-sky as it sounds," reported Fortune
magazine in November 2001. "Potent commercial forces are
bringing the hydrogen economy along faster than anyone thought
possible only a few years ago."
Britain has already announced that every tenth car sold there
by decade's end must be powered by hydrogen or some other zero-emissions
fuel. Hydrogen fuel-cell systems can be found across New York
City-from the Conde Nast building to sewage treatment plants to
a Central Park police station-and across America-from a post office
in Alaska to the space shuttle. Automobile and oil companies have
set up well-funded hydrogen-fuels divisions, and major car companies
are racing to bring a hydrogen car to market. Toyota intends to
start selling one in January of next year. "Greenery, market
forces and innovation are reshaping our industry and propelling
us inexorably toward hydrogen energy," a Texaco executive
told Congress last year. The executive director of advanced technology
vehicles at General Motors agreed, telling a petrochemicals conference,
"Our long-term vision is of a hydrogen economy." No
less a person than Henry Ford's great-grandson, Ford Motor chairman
William Ford, says hydrogen will put an end to "the 100-year
reign of the internal-combustion engine."
Costs and True Costs
Twenty years ago, a kilowatt-hour (kWh) from sunlight cost
about $2.50. Today's photovoltaics turn out kilowatt-hours for
20-25 cents-a tenfold drop in cost, but still expensive. For this
reason, solar is still dependent on government support. The Energy
Department has a much-ballyhooed "Million Solar Roofs Initiative"-but
it has no real money. Instead, solar is being brought in by innovative
local governments, especially in energy-anxious California. The
Sacramento Municipal Utility District leads the nation with ten
megawatts of solar power installed, and last year it tripled its
staff and contractors to reduce a six-month backlog of residents
eager to buy its subsidized solar roofs. San Francisco voters
in November approved a $100 million bond issue to install up to
twenty megawatts of solar roofs on schools and thirty megawatts
of windmills.
Wind is more competitive than solar; it once cost 40 cents
per kWh but is now routinely under 5 cents-even without the wind
PTC of 1.7 cents per kWh. With the wind PTC, wind power is competitive
with energy from newly built and super-subsidized coal (5 cents
per kWh) and natural-gas plants (4 cents at current low gas prices),
and is cheaper than energy from a new nuclear plant (7 cents per
kWh). Those ballpark averages come from the government's Energy
Information Administration, and they reflect what it would cost
to set up a new power plant from scratch and run it. If you leave
aside the massive construction costs of big polluting plants-which
isn't a very helpful way to think about energy-then coal, nuclear
power and gas are all in the 2-3 cents per kWh range.
But cents-per-kWh quotes are deceptive: They say nothing about
the economic and human costs of pollution-created problems. The
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) say coal dust
kills 2,000 miners each year and has cost taxpayers more than
$1 billion a year since the 1 970s in related health and pension
benefits. The Justice Department has paid nearly $200 million
in compensation to about 2,000 uranium miners and millers for
their cancer (the mines fed nuclear weapons, not just nuclear
power). The government has also spent $1.48 billion cleaning up
uranium mine tailings-mounds of radioactive slop left behind in
places like Mexican Hat, Utah, and Ambrosia Lake, New Mexico.
And dozens of uranium and coal miners are hurt and killed each
year in accidents.
There are other status quo costs as well. Last year we depended
on foreigners for 55 percent of our oil. As noted in a bill before
Congress to drill in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, America
"spends over $100 billion per year for foreign energy and
equally significant amounts on our military presence in the Persian
Gulf oil arena." Status quo costs also include 1.56 billion
metric tons of carbon dioxide-to say nothing of more poisonous
particulate matter-put into our air in 2000 alone, just by energy
generation. That in turn drives health problems like our asthma
tragedy: Asthma affects every twentieth American, including 5
million children. In 1998, the CDC says, asthma killed more than
5,438, put a half-million people in hospitals and led to 100 million
days of restricted activity. The CDC puts the asthma price tag
for 1998 at $12.7 billion.
Find this dollars-and-cents stuff tedious? The American Lung
Association cuts to the chase: A March 2001 literature review
offers solid evidence that power plants are killing us off by
the thousands. One study cited attributes, 100 deaths every year
to power plant emissions.
While we're on the subject of costs, consider that the cheapest
and safest form of alternative energy is-using less. Vice President
Cheney says we will need 1,300 new (300 megawatt) power plants,
"more than one new plant per week, every week for twenty
years running." Put aside for a moment that those plants
could all be wind- or solar-powered, and consider: Had Cheney
consulted less with Enron and more with the best government scientists,
he'd know that a three-year study found that an efficiency program
could cut projected electricity demand by 20 47 percent-the equivalent
of from 265 to 610 of Cheney's plants. Bill Prindle, a buildings
expert with the Washington-based Alliance to Save Energy, has
a list of proven efficiencies that slim Cheney's 1,300 plants
even further, to just 170.
This is not about "conservation"-i.e., living without
air conditioning or making other virtuous sacrifices-but about
"efficiency"-high-tech solutions like better lighting
and appliances. Amory Lovins, co-founder of the Rocky Mountain
Institute, calls it installing "megawatts." "Megawatts"
are the cheapest, cleanest, most-quickly-installed-and, by the
way, the most terrorist-proof-of all energy sources. As Lovins
has noted, a 0.4 mile-per-gallon improvement in the average vehicle
would save as much oil each year as we'd ever get from the Arctic
refuge. The National Academy of Sciences concluded in July 2001
that a 40-mpg average, nearly double what we have now, is within
quick reach.
Efficiency spending often pays for itself. Cool Companies
(www.cool-companies.org), set up by an efficiency advocacy group,
offers such anecdotes as one about a business that invested $370,000
in improved lighting, saved $700,000 that year on its energy bill
and also racked up productivity gains of nearly $14 million over
the same period. Unfortunately, the market needs help-education
and a regulatory shove-to fully harvest similar savings. That's
because those who design and construct buildings rarely pay the
light bill or the salaries of future tenants. Builders are rewarded
for, and buyers are worried about, keeping initial costs low-which
are easier to comparison-shop than future life-cycle costs.
An entrepreneur with a choice between wind for 3 cents and
coal for 2.9 cents would buy coal. But a responsible society would
crunch the numbers. Solar power and efficiency do not have secret
costs that include thousands of deaths, millions of dollars in
lost productivity, billions of dollars sent to the world's oil
dictatorships and tens of billions spent policing the Persian
Gulf. This doesn't mean we should look with loathing upon the
oil and coal industries-after all, they provide heat for our homes
and fuel for our cars. But it does mean we should question a government
that ignores cleaner alternatives and instead shovels our tax
dollars into pollution-creating furnaces.
Consider the billions of tax dollars we give to polluters
each year. This largesse is sprinkled throughout our tax code
in ways that thwart easy analysis. So estimates of the subsidies
for fossil fuels and nuclear power yield wildly different numbers-from
the US Energy Information Administration's conservative estimate
of $2.7 billion in 1999 to guesstimates as high as $80 billion
a year. In search of less spongy data, Norman Myers and Jennifer
Kent wrote Perverse Subsidies, which identified $21 billion the
United States hands over every year to fossil fuels and nuclear
power. "If taxpayers were aware that a good chunk of their
taxes were going down the rathole into these subsidies, they'd
be marching on the Mall," said Myers in an interview. "But
it's hard to get the message to the taxpayer because these subsidies
are so numerous and so varied, and some are so covert."
Myers and Kent also found that renewables get at best a tenth
of the subsidies the dinosaurs do. They calculate that the $90
million or so the United States spends on solar research wouldn't
be enough to pave two miles of Interstate highway. Meanwhile,
the wind PTC costs us somewhere from 0.2 percent to 0.025 percent
of what the super-subsidized polluters pull down. Critics of renewables
have seized upon the wind PTC to argue that wind is not "market
ready." Fair enough, but then, what is?
Apollo Projects
House minority leader Richard Gephardt called in January for
"an 'Apollo Project' to develop environmentally smart, renewable
energy solutions." Among other things, he proposed 100,000
hydrogen-fueled cars by 2010. Five days later, Gephardt gave the
Democratic response to the State of the Union address and mumbled
something unmemorable about energy. Democratic Senator John Kerry
and independent Jim Jeffords have called for harvesting 20 percent
of our energy from renewables by 2020, and Jeffords has offered
an excellent bill to mandate that. But the emerging "Senate
energy bill'.' is a much messier offering by Tom Daschle and Jeff
Bingaman. Already Daschle-Bingaman has declined to demand real
fuel efficiency, and had adopted a far less aggressive 10-percent-by-2020
renewables standard-even while larding in so many new subsidies
for fossil fuels and nuclear power that Public Citizen derides
the bill as "Enron-influenced' Exelon-tested and Exxon-approved."
So the Democrats are slouching timorously toward perhaps someday
actually standing for something. Gephardt is right, of course:
We could still leap to the front of this coming revolution. An
Apollo Project for clean and secure energy might, for example,
put a hydrogen pump next to every gasoline pump-doing for hydrogen-fueled
cars what Eisenhower's Interstate highway system did for gasoline
cars. Estimates of the price tag for such a project range from
$20 billion to $100 billion. Or we could kick off a renewables
procurements policy. The Institute for Energy and Environmental
Research suggests spending $20 billion a year buying solar panels,
fuel cells and fuel-efficient vehicles for federal and local government
use-as a way of pushing those technologies into true mass production.
A common response to such proposals is to tsk-tsk: "Prohibitively
expensive!" "The government can't pick winners!"
But we are already showering billions of dollars every year on
the dirty energies of yesteryear. Even if we don't want the Apollo
Project, shouldn't we be dismantling the Anti-Apollo Project of
perverse subsidies?
Then again, if we ended the subsidies to the dinosaurs, who
would bankroll the GOP? In 2000, oil and gas gave $13 to presidential
candidate George Bush for every $1 to candidate A1 Gore. Coal
gave $9 out of every $10 to Republicans. And according to the
Center for Public Integrity, the top 100 officials in the Bush
White House have the majority of their personal investments, up
to $144.6 million, sunk in the old-guard energy sector.
The Green Scissors Campaign, an alliance of environmentalists
and taxpayer watchdogs, parses the Bush-backed energy bill giveaways:
$21.2 billion for oil and gas, $5.8 billion for coal, $5.9 billion
for utilities and $2.7 billion for nuclear power. That same oilman's
orgy included, for green window dressing, a wind PTC extension,
but while the wind PTC couldn't get a hearing on its own, nuclear
power certainly could. Last fall House Republicans worked furiously
on legislation that, in the event of a nuclear catastrophe, hands
taxpayers the bill. This federal insurance program for nuclear
power was approved under rules that keep everyone anonymous-rules
usually reserved for noncontroversial matters like renaming post
offices. A White House statement. praised this sneaky vote: "To
assure the future of nuclear energy, [taxpayer-subsidized liability
coverage must continue for nuclear activities." (In other
words: The White House concedes that nuclear power can't survive
in a free market.) This subsidy, the Price-Anderson Act, awaits
Senate action along with the rest of the subsidy binge; it is
already part of the Daschle-Bingaman bill.
Arguably, fossil fuels and nuclear deserve no subsidy at all.
But with the "free market" Republicans leading and the
Democrats meekly following, we encourage dangerous, dirty and
terrorist-friendly energy infrastructures (often in the name of
security!). That's not to suggest despair; from California to
Europe, renewables are emerging as the business and political
favorites. But it is to ask, impatiently, how much longer Americans
will be expected to overpay for energy-in health costs, environmental
damages and misused taxes. The people of America are being overcharged;
it's time to ask for a refund.
Matt Bivens covers energy, environmental and nuclear issues
for www.thenation.com. A former editor of the Moscow Times, he
recently returned to the United States after nine years reporting
from Russia for publications including the Los Angeles Times and
Harper's.
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