excerpts from
The Rise of the Proconsuls
from the book
American Empire
The Realities and Consequences
of U.S. Diplomacy
by Andrew Bacevich
Harvard University Press, 2002,
paper
p182
Kosovo qualifies in equal measure as a "proconsul's war,"
with the proconsul in this case being General Wesley K. Clark,
then serving both as chief of United States European Command and
as NATO's supreme allied 'Commander.
... To Clark and to senior officials of
the Clinton administration, the chief obstacle to peace in the
Balkans was Slobodan Milosevic, the ultranationalist Serb and
president of what remained of Yugoslavia. During his service with
Holbrooke, Clark had met with Milosevic on many occasions. As
a result, he was supremely confident that he knew what made the
Serb president tick. Clark "had learned his fear"-the
prospect of attack by American air power. In his capacity as a
strategic commander, he intended to exploit that fear, maneuvering
Milosevic into ending his repression of the Kosovar Albanians
while also coaxing him to embrace democracy-the only sure way
to guarantee Balkan stability.
Well before NATO initiated Operation Allied
Force in March 1999, Clark was hard at work selling his "strategic
vision" to Washington. Modeling his tactics after Hoibrooke's
in Bosnia, Clark favored what he called a "carrot and stick
approach." The stick-the threat of bombing-would bring Milosevic
to the negotiating table. The carrot would come once serious talks
were under way: Clark wanted "subtly to embed in the negotiations
measures to promote the return of democracy to Serbia."
p185
In short order it became clear that Clark-though not he alone-had
miscalculate . A defiant Milosevic did not fold. The first several
days' bombing succeeded only in stoking the fires of Serb nationalism
and in providing Belgrade with the excuse to accelerate its ethnic
cleansing of Kosovo. Ethnic Albanian refugees poured out of Kosovo
into neighboring Macedonia and Albania, a development that caught
NATO flatfooted. Despite this evidence of a full-fledged war,
high officials in Washington continued to characterize the operation
as a "humanitarian intervention," launched in response
to Serb-perpetrated genocide.
His own bluff called, Clark needed to
make good on his threat to disrupt, degrade, devastate, and destroy
Milosevic's army. But the 366 aircraft assembled for Allied Force-the
majority provided by the United States-proved inadequate to the
task. Hampered by bad weather and difficult terrain, deprived
of lucrative targets as Serb units dispersed or hid in Kosovar
villages, allied aircrews proved unable even to impede Yugoslav
operations on the ground, much less to destroy the forces conducting
them.
p186
Having blundered into an open-ended conflict against an unpredictable,
surprisingly defiant foe and with the future of NATO hanging in
the balance, the United States found itself face to face with
the limitations of the Clinton doctrine. Unlike the periodic post-Gulf
War confrontations with Saddam Hussein or the retaliation for
the terrorist attacks on the U.S. embassies in Africa, in this
instance the United States could not lob a few pieces of ordnance,
declare the operation a success, and call it quits. Nor, apart
from the remnants of the Kosovo Liberation Army (KLA)-a battered
and unsavory insurgent group known to be engaged in drug trafficking
and terror-were there any readily available proxies to throw into
the fray. Simply trying harder was not an option: as the number
of refugees streaming out of Kosovo mounted with each passing
day, the inadequacy of the initial limited bombing became obvious.
Clark's job was to find a way out of this
predicament. In practice, only two alternatives existed. One course
of action was to acknowledge that the war actually was a war and
to prosecute it accordingly. Doing so implied bringing the full
weight of allied military power to bear on Milosevic to force
him to submit-destroying his army, invading his territory, and,
if need be, occupying his capital. In practice, of course, "allied
power" meant for the most part American power.
Liberating Kosovo would entail serious
fighting and held the almost certain prospect of U.S. casualties.
But the Clinton administration-however misleadingly-had justified
intervention primarily on humanitarian grounds, and Mogadishu
had seemingly showed that Americans would not accept casualties
incurred during humanitarian operations. Furthermore, organizing
such a large-scale campaign would make it difficult to sustain
the grand conceit of the global age, namely that war itself had
become obsolete.
The second course of action called for
NATO to forgo any goals of liberation while intensifying and recasting
its bombing campaign. Even as it expressed continuing sympathy
for the plight of the Kosovars and maintained a pretense of going
after Yugoslav forces in the field, the alliance would shift the
weight of its air effort to Serbia proper. Targeting government
facilities, communications networks, the electrical grid, oil
refineries, factories, and infrastructure, allied aircrews would
wreak whatever level of havoc was required to convince Milosevic
that he had had enough. Put simply, instead of searching ineffectually
for Serb forces scattered among the villages of Kosovo, NATO would
go after downtown Belgrade. People might die as a result, but
few if any of them would be wearing the uniform of a NATO nation.
Furthermore, by averting the necessity of fighting on the ground,
this approach would help sustain the tissue-thin fiction that
this latest Balkan unpleasantness was not really a war, but simply
an action by the "international community" to enforce
the rules of a global age.
Yet Clark opted for the first alternative.
By the beginning of April, the general who had long touted Milosevic's
susceptibility to a little bit of bombing was pressing Washington
and Brussels to begin considering a possible invasion by ground
forces. As a first step in that direction, he urged the immediate
deployment of AH-64 Apache attack helicopters and rocket artillery-stationed
in Germany and already assigned to his own U.S. European Command.
In Clark's view, the firepower of these potent weapons would exact
a heavy toll on Yugoslav formations operating in Kosovo. If there
was some risk involved, he was willing to take it.
Militarily, Clark's preferred course of
action qualified as at least plausible. Morally, it was eminently
defensible. But politically, it was a nonstarter. Having become
a proponent of possible ground operations, America's proconsul
in Europe revealed himself in Washington's eyes to be a naïf
and a liability. With that, the jackals began to converge.
As SACEUR, Clark expected to be accorded
the respect and deference due to a supranational military figure.
As the successor to supreme commanders like Eisenhower, Alfred
M. Gruenther, and Lauris Norstad, whose influence at least approached
that implied by their magniloquent title, Clark expected, especially
in the midst of hostilities, to exercise real command authority
over the forces at his disposal. If nothing else, as a regional
CINC in the midst of a sticky situation, he expected that the
longstanding American tradition of backing field commanders to
the hilt would guarantee him the full support of his fellow four-stars
back in the Pentagon.
He was disappointed on all counts. To
his political masters in Washington, Clark's support for a proposition
so wildly at odds with the president's stated policy was unacceptable.
Moreover, they were adamant that the White House and the Pentagon
would make the key decisions. Nor were Clark's military peers
in the Pentagon sympathetic: an advocate of using "military
power to back diplomacy" had stumbled into a full-fledged
shooting war-in their view an unnecessary one. Now Clark seemed
determined to make things worse by enmeshing U.S. forces in a
ground campaign of unknown cost and duration. They were determined
to prevent him from doing so.
In essence, Washington opted for the lesser
evil: a strategic bombing campaign to bring the Serb regime and,
if need be, the Serb nation to its knees.
p190
By the first week of June, strategic bombing-that is, attacks
designed to inflict maximum pain on the Serb economy and the Serb
people-began to take its toll. Since mid-May 85 percent of Serbs
had been without electric power. Russia, the closest thing that
Serbia could claim as a meaningful ally, signaled Belgrade that
it was time to quit. For its part, NATO quietly backed off from
elements of the Rambouillet formula that Serbs had found most
offensive. A resurgent KLA, with indirect American encouragement
and support, began operating out of base camps in Albania to harass
Yugoslav units in Kosovo proper. By no means least of all, British
Prime Minister Tony Blair, most hawkish of NATO's European leaders,
was on the verge of going public with plans to invade Kosovo,
if need be without the Americans. And the White House announced
that Bill Clinton had invited the Joint Chiefs of Staff to consult-the
president's first session with the JCS since the hostilities had
begun. According to press reports, the purpose of the meeting
was to provide cover for Clinton to announce that he, too, now
accepted the necessity of preparing a ground option.
At this juncture, Milosevic indicated
through intermediaries that Yugoslavia sought an end to the hostilities.
Over a period of several days, after much wrangling, Yugoslav
and NATO officers signed off on an agreement paving the way for
the introduction "in Kosovo under UN auspices of effective
international civil and security presences." Implicit in
this stilted phrasing was that the peacekeeping operation would
not be exclusively a NATO one, a major concession to the Serbs.
Prominent among the non-NATO nations scheduled to participate
was Russia.
On June 9-after seventy-eight days, just
over 38,000 sorties, and the expenditure of 28,236 weapons amounting
to 12,000 tons of munitions-the bombing ceased. In the days that
followed, Serb forces, showing surprisingly little wear and tear,
affected an orderly, at times almost impudent, withdrawal from
Kosovo.° As the Serbs departed, the lead elements of KFOR,
the NATO-led peacekeeping force, entered the province. The deployment
became the occasion of Clark's final and most public humiliation.
Clark's plan for occupying Kosovo divided
the province into five sectors, each assigned to a NATO member
nation. Irked at the prospect of its own contingent's reporting
to a subordinate NATO commander, Moscow took matters into its
own hands: it would get its own troops into Kosovo first and carve
out a distinctive Russian sector. With that end in mind, the Russian
peacekeeping brigade in Bosnia dispatched a small armored column
toward Pristina with orders to seize the main provincial airport
there. If Russian troops could gain control of the airport, others
could pile on to reinforce, presenting the allies with a fait
accompli.
Viewing Moscow's move as a "strategic
challenge" to NATO, Clark ordered the commander of KFOR,
Lieutenant General Sir Michael Jackson, to beat the Russians to
Pristina by whatever means necessary. When the Russians won the
race anyway, Clark ordered Jackson to block the runways to prevent
the arrival of reinforcements. Jackson bluntly refused. "I'm
not starting World War Hi for you," the British general told
Clark in an emotional outburst that captured the attention of
the press. More telling, however, is Clark's own account of the
exchange. Jackson asked by what authority Clark was issuing his
order.
"By my authority, as SACEUR."
"You don't have that authority."
That Jackson spoke the truth soon became
evident even to Clark: wary of a confrontation that could derail
the ongoing occupation, senior Pentagon officials, starting with
Shelton, sided with the British three-star against the American
four-star. There would be no blocking of runways. As a gauge of
Clark's impoverished standing as SACEUR, a more telling incident
could scarcely be conceived. The proconsul had been hung out to
dry.
p192
If in the post-Cold War era the ideal conflict is one in which
no Americans get hurt and every American gets rich, then the war
for Kosovo, in its own perverse way, approached perfection. In
the end, the United States and its allies prevailed-albeit over
a pint-sized nation whose entire gross national product amounted
to one-sixteenth of the Pentagon's budget-without losing a single
soldier killed in action. During the air campaign, critics had
lambasted the Clinton administration for its lackluster conduct
of the war. But this amounted to just so much hot air. As long
as there were no body bags coming home, the administration's actual
control of policy was never seriously called into question.
No less noteworthy, the war came and went
without causing Wall Street more than passing anxiety. Indeed,
Operation Allied Force coincided with a stock rally of epic proportions.
During the first week the Dow Jones industrial average closed
above 10,000 points for the first time; barely a month later,
with the bombs still falling, it surpassed 11,000. Never during
U.S. involvement in a war had American stock portfolios fattened
so generously and so quickly. President Clinton himself received
scant credit for his Balkan victory-his standing in the polls
actually dropped a bit-but he had seemingly stumbled into a formula
enabling the United States to fight wars without engaging the
passions of the American people. For a self-indulgent democracy
in a postheroic age eager to maintain its global preeminence but
disinclined to sacrifice, such a formula was likely to find future
application.
The legal and political consequences of
Operation Allied Force were more problematic. With regard to international
law, the intervention qualified in at least two respects as a
Precedent-setting event. In going to war over Belgrade's treatment
of Kosovo, the United States and its allies demolished any lingering
notion about the claims of sovereignty rendering internal matters
off-limits to outsiders. Russia and China numbered among the nations
viewing that precedent with alarm.
In addition, although NATO had justified
its resort to force as an action undertaken on behalf of the entire
"international community," the body normally considered
to represent that community had by no means given its approval.
Indeed, given its inability to get the United Nations to authorize
intervention-in the Security Council neither Russia nor China
would concur-the alliance had in fact arrogated to itself the
authority to act. That the world's only superpower could henceforth
use a regional organization that it dominated to legitimate its
own use of force did not find universal favor.
Politically, the war left relations between
Washington and Moscow strained and between Washington and Beijing
on the verge of a complete rupture-largely as a result of an errant
U.S. bomb that pulverized the Chinese embassy in Belgrade on May
7, 1999. The successful conclusion of the war also did little
to enhance NATO's own solidarity. Although nominally the alliance
had demonstrated a hitherto-untapped capacity to venture "out
of area" and even "out of charter," in the eyes
of many observers, the war's chief lesson was never, ever to risk
another such enterprise. A second such stressful event could well
mean NATO's dissolution.
To make matters worse, with Operation
Allied Force having demonstrated anew how far allied military
capabilities lagged behind those of the United States, the European
Union began talk of creating a separate defense identity, enabling
it, if necessary, to act independently. Whether Europe possessed
either the collective political will or the resources to reconfigure
and modernize its forces remained to be seen, but the mere prospect
did not bode well for American claims to leadership on that continent.
But all of this was as nothing in comparison
with Kosovo's moral and ethical implications. Indeed, on these
matters, the events during and after the conflict left a long
skein of confusion trailing in their wake. Problems began at the
moment of the war's conception. The United States and its allies
publicly justified intervention as a necessary response to the
horrors of ethnic cleansing. But once the shooting began, they
took no meaningful action to protect the Kosovar Albanians, whose
plight actually worsened as NATO proceeded with its attack. It
was as if America actually had entered World War II to save the
Jews and then still abandoned them to their fate.
Throughout the campaign, the American
aversion to casualties remained acute. Combined with an unbridled
infatuation with technology, this preoccupation yielded morally
insidious effects. With airmen recycling old theories of strategic
bombing, now larded with expansive assurances that precision weapons
released from afar could achieve remarkable results at minimal
risk to Americans, the principle of noncombatant immunity received
short shrift.
The essence of war is a bloody interaction.
Traditionally armies interact with-that is, wage war against-other
armies. But in Kosovo the U.S. government was, for all practical
purposes, unwilling to countenance the loss of a single American
soldier. Since making war on the Serb army meant putting soldiers
in harm's way-whether by sending troops in on the ground or flying
aircraft at lower operating altitudes-every American in a position
of authority (except Clark) understood the necessity of recalibrating
the terms of the interaction. In essence, the United States needed
to wage war in ways that deprived the enemy of any real opportunity
to shoot back. The role assigned to military forces in Allied
Force was not to fight battles but to deliver ordnance.
Thus did it become expedient to target
the Serb political and economic infrastructure, and inevitably
Serb civilians. This shift in priorities showed in the results
achieved. In contrast to their predecessors during Operation Desert
Storm, the aircrews who conducted Operation Allied Force showed
themselves markedly less efficient in killing enemy soldiers and
more efficient in killing noncombatants. To enemy observers,
such an outcome was anathema. Others-fired with the conviction
that the cause was just-disagreed. In any war, according to David
Rieff, a journalist of progressive bent, regrettable incidents
occurred: "you send your F- 15 to help the Kosovars and what
it does is it blows up a bunch of children in a hospital. It is
inevitable. That's what war is. We've made a lot of claims for
ourselves, for our societies and for our moral aspirations. But
without force or the threat of force, they're hollow ideas."
The disparity between professions of humanitarian
concern and the actual results achieved also pervaded the peacekeeping
phase of the operation. For KFOR, Clark laid down four new 'measures
of merit," chief among them a requirement to stop any crimes
of revenge or Serb ethnic cleansing." In the event, Kosovar
refugees returned home thirsting for revenge and wasted little
time slaking that thirst. A savage process of reverse ethnic cleansing
ensued, which KFOR did little to impede. '° Expectations that
a Kosovo purged of its ethnic Serb minority might become placid
did not materialize. Despite having agreed to disarm, a resurgent
KLA began agitating violently to unify all nearby ethnic Albanians
into a "Greater Kosovo." Albanian insurgents infiltrated
into Serbia and Macedonia, triggering border skirmishes that KFOR
found itself attempting ever so gingerly to suppress.
In the meantime, cautious American commanders
in Kosovo kept their well-armed troops battened down in Camp Bondsteel,
a sprawling, heavily defended base soon to be equipped with gymnasiums,
recreation centers, and a shopping-mall-style food court. Unlike
in Bosnia, no one even pretended that the mission would end anytime
soon: the troops settled in for a protracted stay. And whatever
Clark's stated intent, the paramount concern for each U.S. unit
that rotated through Kosovo, outweighing every other consideration,
became "force protection," keeping the troops from harm.
Whatever the moral justifications for
plunging Belgrade into darkness and for turning a blind eye as
the persecuted turned on the persecutors in Kosovo, these developments
left the very concept of a military professional ethic reeling.
Even the most sympathetic observer was hard pressed to find in
the allied assault on Serbia or in the peacekeeping efforts that
followed evidence of gallantry or derring-do or fraternal self-sacrifice-any
of the virtues that warring nations cite to imbue an otherwise
squalid business with a modicum of dignity. Critics, viewing these
events from afar rather than, say, from the cockpit of a fighter-bomber
streaking across the night sky toward Belgrade, expressed concern
that present-day soldiers appeared less eager to die for their
country than earlier generations had been. Less than a decade
after the high-water mark of Desert Storm, American military professionalism,
they lamented, showed unmistakable signs of decay.
The debates provoked by these moral and
ethical complications raised issues of profound importance to
a democratic and, in many respects, God-fearing society. For those
fancying that a star-spangled fist ought to enforce the rules
of a globalized world, the moral complications lying in wait appeared
formidable. Yet at the political center of things, these concerns
barely registered. At the center, the war's architects understood
that from the outset Operation Allied Force had never actually
been about doing the right thing in the right way. Its purpose
had been to sustain American primacy on a continent of vital importance
to the United States, one that had advanced the furthest toward
the openness and integration defining the ultimate goal of J American
grand strategy. The United States fought over Kosovo not to protect
Kosovars but to forestall the intolerable prospect of Europe's
backsliding.
Viewed from this perspective, the workmanlike
demolition of Serbia might not qualify as a feat worthy of comparison
with Gettysburg or the Normandy invasion, but it was what a great
power did to fend off perceived threats to its preeminence. If
Operation Allied Force did not rise to the level of a great moral
victory, it was a necessary strategic one, an example of the work
that goes along with running an empire.
Within the foreign policy elite, the relevant
lessons of Kosovo concerned not issues of conscience but practical
matters. By the end of the 1990s it became apparent to even the
most enthusiastic booster of globalization and of American "leadership"
that the enterprise to which the United States had committed itself
was proving to be an arduous one. If the forces of globalization
might one day perhaps render beggar-thy-neighbor politics obsolete,
that day had certainly not yet arrived. Whatever the hopes that
one day all the nations of the world would converge on the ideals
of pluralistic democratic liberalism, for the moment at least,
ethnic identity and cultural particularism remained ferociously
and disconcertingly alive.
Furthermore, if the United States undoubtedly
ranked as the greatest military power the world had ever seen,
its capacity to overawe fell far short of being absolute. Keeping
America's armed might in reserve would not suffice; using it necessarily
entailed new obligations and commitments and in some quarters
stoked greater opposition. With American citizens evincing little
eagerness to shoulder the burdens of empire (while accepting its
benefits as their due), innovative methods of imperial management
were needed. The alternative-allowing the nation's own cultural
maladies to circumscribe the exercise of American power-was simply
unacceptable. If, in the particular case of Kosovo, the American
proconsul had failed to fulfill his responsibilities, then the
appointment of a more responsive and capable replacement was in
order.
At the end of the 1990s, with the United
States at the zenith of its influence, Kosovo served as a reminder
that the obstacles to openness remained formidable. Overcoming
those obstacles was proving less easy than Bill Clinton and Madeleine
Albright had expected. Yet despite periodic posturing about America's
imminent slide back into isolationism, virtually no member of
the policy elite dissented from the proposition that the United
States had little choice strategically but to press on. The anticipated
consequences of doing otherwise-greater disorder abroad, diminished
prosperity at home, and, inevitably, retribution at the ballot
box-were simply too awful to contemplate. The consensus in favor
of "global leadership" remained firm.
On June 2, with the outcome of Operation
Allied Force still at issue, but with patience wearing thin and
criticism of the administration's handling of the crisis approaching
flood stage, President Clinton's national security adviser, Samuel
R. Berger, summoned a group of "wise men" to the White
House. To counter the perception that the president lacked the
mettle to see things through, Berger outlined for his listeners
"four irreducible facts": "One, we will win. Period.
Full stop. There is no alternative. Second, winning means what
we said it means. Third, the air campaign is having a serious
impact. Four, the president has said he has not ruled out any
option. So go back to one. We will win.
The national security adviser did not
speak idly. In Europe, NATO aircrews ratcheted up the punishment
visited upon the Serbs. In Washington, the White House girded
itself for the prospect of mounting an invasion. There would be
no backing down. At the end of the day, the United States would
do whatever was necessary to win.
Berger's crisp presentation serves as
a fitting end point for an ostensibly humanitarian intervention
that willy-nilly transformed itself into a full-fledged shooting
war. But it serves just as well to capture the irreducible bottom
line of U.S. grand strategy during the 1990s. Faced with opposition
and under duress, the United States would do whatever was necessary
to achieve its purposes. Period. Full stop.
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